Sadly I'm not a betting man.  I'm guessing that I would have got fairly good odds on the Arctic Ice Area dropping below 1M SQ KM this summer.  Even if it is way below any analysts projections even today.

 

Today I can't get odds for even that wild supposition.  Way, Way too much melt going on.

 

So what does that tell you?

 

Things are much worse than they seem would be my take!